Agentic Innovation Economics: Research Programme
Forthcoming Research on Agent-Based Economic Innovation and Autonomous Market Dynamics
Published Work in This Programme
The inaugural paper in this strand was presented at the 2025 Global Congress on Emerging Technologies (IEEE GCET) in Lyon, France, and is now available on IEEE Xplore:
Niankara, I., Aljallad, Y., Soussi, O., Maghrabi, K., Alkhyeli, M., & Alghool, S. (2025). The Impact of Artificial Intelligence on Fresh Graduate Labor Demand: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis with Industry and Firm Heterogeneity. 2025 Global Congress on Emerging Technologies (GCET). IEEE. DOI: 10.1109/GCET68529.2025.11450624
The paper develops a CES production-function model of AI’s dual role in substituting and complementing fresh graduate labour, runs Monte Carlo simulations across 1,000 firms in 5 industries, and derives policy counterfactuals. Read the full paper →
Programme Overview
The Agentic Innovation Economics research strand develops rigorous economic frameworks for understanding how autonomous AI agents — capable of perceiving, reasoning, planning, and acting — are transforming the economics of innovation, production, and market organisation.
As multi-agent systems move from proof-of-concept to enterprise deployment, fundamental economic questions guide this programme:
- How do agent-based production systems alter the theory of the firm and transaction cost economics?
- What market structures and equilibria emerge when agents negotiate, contract, and transact autonomously?
- How does agentic automation affect labour markets, skill premiums, and the distribution of gains from innovation?
- What governance and regulatory architectures are needed for markets populated by autonomous agents?
- How do multi-agent coordination failures manifest economically, and what mechanisms prevent them?
Expected Contributions
This programme will produce formal game-theoretic models, agent-based computational simulations, and empirical analyses of early agentic market deployments — providing a rigorous economic foundation for enterprise AI strategy and policymaking in the UAE and beyond.
Additional papers and working papers will appear here as they are completed.